Resolution rule
YES if the BLS initially reported U-3 unemployment rate is at least 4.0%; otherwise NO.
- Evidence cutoff
- Nov 3, 2026, 5:30 AM PST
- Resolution time
- Nov 6, 2026, 9:30 AM PST
- Contract hash
- 9bae49655214…e664b6eb
- Run ID
- No valid run
← All World EventsDECISION CONTRACT OFFICIAL OUTCOME FROZEN COMPARISON
economicsREGISTERED
Will the unemployment rate be at least 4.0%? BLS release: November 2026.
Scheduled resolution: Nov 6, 2026, 9:30 AM PST
LOCKED FORECAST PANEL
No valid lockWhat each model recorded
This question does not have a complete locked panel.
Pending
The system will not infer a result. It waits for the declared official source.
- Brier score
- —
- Log loss
- —
- Source hash
- Not available
AI and market, before the result
Both forecasts use the same evidence cutoff: Nov 3, 5:30 AM PST. Lower Brier scores mean better probability estimates.
Waiting for the cutoff. A complete AI panel and a verified market quote from the preceding 15 minutes are required.
PREDICTION-MARKET BENCHMARKNo verified external contract is attached
Similar contracts remain in review and never become evidence automatically. Explore the recorded market universe →