TBTORK.BROS
Decision IntelligenceLocked forecasts. Official outcomes.
LIVE DATA
RT
THE TORK.BROS EXPERIMENT

Can AI predict sports
better than the market?

We ask four AI models who will win. We save the TORK.BROS forecast before play starts. Then we compare it with the real result and market predictions.

ChatGPTClaudeGrokGemini
Choose a sport See what we have learned
  1. 01
    Compare the four models

    See who each model favors and how confident it is.

  2. 02
    See the TORK.BROS view

    One combined forecast. A hold means no usable forecast is published.

  3. 03
    Check what happened

    After the event, inspect the saved forecast and official result.

EXPLORE TORK.BROS

Start with a sport

Open a matchup to see available forecasts and scores
FIFIGHT INTELLIGENCEMMAUFC cards & audited resultsBXBOXINGBoxingFull cards, four-model forecasts & resultsTNCOURT INTELLIGENCETennisMatches & official resultsCFBCOLLEGE FOOTBALLCollege FootballFBS schedules & resultsCBBCOLLEGE BASKETBALLCollege BasketballDivision I schedules & resultsNFLPRO FOOTBALLNFLSchedules & model evaluationNHLHOCKEYNHLSchedules, live scores & resultsNBABASKETBALLNBASeason-ready intelligenceWWOMEN’S BASKETBALLWNBASchedules, live scores & resultsMLBBASEBALLMLB1 games today%EVENT CATEGORIESMarketsBrowse coverage by sportW/LACCOUNTABILITYResults1445 completed audits
TODAY · SATURDAY, OCT 17

MLB games

All games
14 models→2TORK BROS→3Official result
UPCOMINGOct 17, 5:08 PM

Tampa Bay Rays at Cleveland Guardians

Progressive Field

TORK BROS VIEWWITHHELD3/4 models published a direction, but no side earned a three-model majority.
4 MODEL CONSENSUS2 of 4 favor Tampa Bay Rays · 51–56%
Details ⌄
ChatGPTTampa Bay Rays56%ClaudeTampa Bay Rays51%GrokAwaiting—GeminiCleveland Guardians55%
STRONGEST RECORDED FACTORStarting pitcher qualityShawn Armstrong vs Nick Martinez; recent 30-day ERA is used when available.ANALYSIS LOCKOct 17, 5:00 AM PDTPoint-in-time record preserved
WHY TORK BROS WITHHELDRequired evidence is incomplete or conflicting.
Lineup: not postedData trust: 91/100Odds: not connected
View full analysis
1 of 1 games shownFull MLB board
HOW TO READ A FORECASTA forecast is an estimate, not a promise.LEAN names the favored side. PASS or WITHHELD means no usable directional forecast is published. A 60% forecast means about six wins in ten comparable events, if the probabilities are well calibrated.
WHAT THE COUNTERS MEANAll sports: 1445 completed audits · 1463 eligible pregame locksLive totals include every eligible PICK or LEAN locked before the event and audited against an official result. These count completed audits, not wins. Sport totals are parts of that total. The frozen checkpoint is a dated subset. Milestones are targets, not limits on the count.
LIVE RESEARCH INFRASTRUCTURE

The evidence network is growing every day.

53,878LEDGER ENTRIES~2,338,072MARKET OBSERVATIONSView MOAT data ⌄

Collection scale shows the depth of the evidence system. It does not establish predictive accuracy; only prospective locked audits count toward validation.

Explore the MOAT
IMMUTABLE PROBABILITY LEDGER53,878Forecast, revision, decision, and lock records preserved over time
KALSHI + POLYMARKET OBSERVATIONS~2,338,072Approximate collection size; time-stamped market probabilities are preserved for comparison and audit
AI MODELS TRACKED4ChatGPT, Claude, Grok, and Gemini evaluated separately
LIVE SPORTS AUDITS1445Completed audits of eligible forecasts locked before the event, across all sports