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Will final-demand PPI rise at least 0.2% month over month? BLS release: September 2026.

Official outcome: YES

LOCKED FORECAST PANEL

What each model recorded

No valid lock

This question does not have a complete locked panel.

DECISION CONTRACT

Resolution rule

YES if the BLS reported seasonally adjusted one-month percent change in final-demand PPI is at least 0.2%; otherwise NO.

Evidence cutoff
Sep 7, 2026, 5:30 AM PDT
Resolution time
Sep 10, 2026, 9:30 AM PDT
Contract hash
Not available
Run ID
No valid run
OFFICIAL OUTCOME

YES

Resolved Sep 14, 2026, 8:50 PM PDT. The source record is hashed below.

Brier score
—
Log loss
—
Source hash
b439edabe7a5…2b80ec7b
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FROZEN COMPARISON

AI and market, before the result

Both forecasts use the same evidence cutoff: Sep 7, 5:30 AM PDT. Lower Brier scores mean better probability estimates.

No qualifying comparison was frozen. This event is excluded from market scoring; later prices cannot fill the gap.

PREDICTION-MARKET BENCHMARKNo verified external contract is attached

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