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Decision IntelligenceLocked forecasts. Official outcomes.
LIVE DATA
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economicsREGISTERED

Will total nonfarm payroll employment increase by at least 100,000? BLS release: November 2026.

Scheduled resolution: Nov 6, 2026, 9:30 AM PST

LOCKED FORECAST PANEL

What each model recorded

No valid lock

This question does not have a complete locked panel.

DECISION CONTRACT

Resolution rule

YES if the BLS initially reported monthly change in total nonfarm payroll employment is at least 100,000; otherwise NO.

Evidence cutoff
Nov 3, 2026, 5:30 AM PST
Resolution time
Nov 6, 2026, 9:30 AM PST
Contract hash
9c778d87f254…1c79b4cb
Run ID
No valid run
OFFICIAL OUTCOME

Pending

The system will not infer a result. It waits for the declared official source.

Brier score
—
Log loss
—
Source hash
Not available
Open official source ↗
FROZEN COMPARISON

AI and market, before the result

Both forecasts use the same evidence cutoff: Nov 3, 5:30 AM PST. Lower Brier scores mean better probability estimates.

Waiting for the cutoff. A complete AI panel and a verified market quote from the preceding 15 minutes are required.

PREDICTION-MARKET BENCHMARKNo verified external contract is attached

Similar contracts remain in review and never become evidence automatically. Explore the recorded market universe →